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David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB18. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. From Weeks 13 through 17, Dobbins received a measly two total targets from quarterback Lamar Jackson. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Take a chance on a committee back in the same range who might emerge into a starter or become one due to injury. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. Malcolm Brown should play plenty, and this offense isn't likely to be explosive enough to support two running backs in any meaningful way. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). There are no guarantees he fits with what Atlanta wants to do or whether he has the endurance to handle a workload after last year's use. Quarterback Lamar Jackson will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. Anthony Amico: The story with Gibson is somewhat similar to that of Jacobs but with a proof of concept already complete. Unfortunately, the odds are stacked against Kamara repeating as the best player in fantasy football. Without the volume, it is going to be difficult to get decent fantasy numbers. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. Brown never stopped earning playing time for the Rams despite the team investing early draft capital at the position. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . Andy Hicks: When looking at the Falcons backfield, it is clear there is no one currently there to challenge Mike Davis to start the season. McKissic, one the league's better pass-catching backs. The Eagles consistently added to the depth chart this offseason with Kerryon Johnson, Jordan Howard, Kenneth Gainwell added to Boston Scott. "Footballguys is the best premiumfantasy football by | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers Chad Parsons: As much as Taylor is an overt talent and a potentially elite RB1 in a best-case scenario. Andy Hicks: If people are using a fourth or fifth-round pick on Myles Gaskin, they will end up disappointed. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. So should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? That, plus the uncertainty of Edmond's role, leaves me more concerned than excited. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. That is not the stat line of an elite RB at all. Jeff Haseley: Chase Edmonds scored in five different games in 2020, exceeding eight carries in a game only twice in 15 qualifying games. He rewarded those believers with an RB18 PPG season. Jason Wood: Williams has the talent to be a top-10 fantasy back for years. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris could struggle behind his offensive line and not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. Barry Sanders 3. Matt Waldman: After studying Swift's best weeks in 2020, the Lions' offseason acquisitions, and Coach Lynn's analysis of his backs, I'm less enthusiastic about Swift. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. He and Ameer Abdullah -- who played over Kenyan Drake in the first preseason game -- could take away tons of receiving work, while White is capable of obtaining shots around the goal line. Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time by Team By Paul Ladewski, updated on September 10, 2021 Matt York / AP Photo Don't you just love it that sports media are so quick to hype athletes as the biggest and the best. While Jacobs is capable of a bell-cow role, McDaniels has a long history of maddening running back usage as the Patriots OC. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs No Name August 6, 2011 Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. J.D. Sigmund Bloom: Brian Robinson Jr had an excellent preseason debut, while Antonio Gibson fumbled *again*, so this is trending in the wrong direction for Gibson's 2022 redraft value. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. Matt Waldman: Many of my peers at Footballguys are worshippers of draft capital as a predictor of talent. 1 Tom Brady Thomas Edward Patrick Brady, Jr., is an American football quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers of the National Football League. Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. There are too many risk factors to comfortably draft Ekeler as a No. "Matthew Berry, ESPN. J.D. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Even last year, as the Panthers starter, he averaged just 3.9 yards-per-carry. Gordon caught only 32 passes last year, and outside of three games where he scored two touchdowns, he was a mediocre fantasy back. He feasted on unsustainable opportunities and a soft schedule. Cohen is not even a projected injury-away auto-start fantasy option heading into training camp. His best year came in 2011 when he ran for 10 touchdowns and 1,047 yards, but other than that he didn't do much else. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Etienne's selection early in the late first signals he should have an immediate opportunity, especially with a new coaching staff in place. It probably comes off as harsh to call Montgomery one of the most overrated running backs of the past decade, but he is. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. 3 back on the depth chart before the first preseason game. Pittsburghs front five looks nothing like last years group. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. The Top Ten 1 David Beckham David Robert Joseph Beckham is (born 2 May 1975) is an English former professional footballer, the current president & co-owner of Inter Miami CF and co-owner of Salford City.. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB20. There's zero appeal here. History and time have helped make Perry one of the most overrated defensive players of all time. Overrated David Boston -- WR, 1999-02 Boston was a former first-round pick by the Cardinals who had an epic Pro Bowl /All-Pro season in 2001 when he caught 98 passes for nearly 1,600 yards and. Emmitt Smith 4. That is still great, but not quite as good as many people have him ranked. But career stats shouldnt have much emphasis on them for that reason. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. Has no highlight reel. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. The additions of Ryan Fitzpatrick, Curtis Samuel, Dyami Brown, and a healthy Antonio Gibson should blunt his numbers and make his season look more like 2020's first half when he averaged 4.7 targets and 3.6 receptions per game instead of his second half when he saw 8.6 targets and 6.1 catches an outing. Is he more talented than Melvin Gordon III at this point in their respective careers? Kudos to James Robinson. James Brimacombe: Once Kenyan Drake was out of the picture, we shot Edmonds up the draft board naturally. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. Photo: Isaiah J. Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. Fred Taylor So what's the concern? There are plenty of clarified RB1 types later in the draft to avoid taking the variable shot on Williams. Jordan McNamara: Malcom Brown drew the starter role in the first preseason game, and the team has shown the willingness to change starters against conventional wisdom when Gaskin was a surprise starter in Week 1. Andy Hicks: Austin Ekeler isnt going to rush anyone to a fantasy title. A new offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh also adds uncertainty to the situation. It's possible that Las Vegas will lean on Jacobs, knowing he won't be back next year, but that goes against McDaniels' past style of play. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. 24 Overrated RBs. 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History By Paul Ladewski on August 3, 2021 Chris O'Meara / AP Photo Before franchise quarterbacks took pro football hostage, there was something known as franchise running backs. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. The additions of Mike Boone and Javonte Williams haven't done anything to dispel this idea. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were recently ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. John Riggins 19. He was a liability during pass plays because of his inability to catch passes. Coach Brian Flores comes from New England, where they liked employing a committee, and now they have come out publicly to say this will, in fact, be a committee in Miami. The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. Sigmund Bloom: The Raiders are going to adopt a frustrating Patriots-style committee at running back under Josh McDaniels, which means that Jacobs will be at best Damien Harris in this offense. Ryan Hester: Short of Taysom Hill (if he wins the job), this whole offense is an avoid for fantasy football right now. Terrell Davis, Edgerrin James, Reggie Bush, Rashard Mendenhall, Jamaal Charles, and recently, Dalvin Cook all took over a season of play to return to form if they did at all. I believe he should be elected because he was able to maintain a good level of consistency throughout his 13 years. Ronaldinho is also one of the finest players of all time and the global icon dazzled with his Brazilian flair for across Europe, most notably for Barcelona and AC Milan. Andrew Davenport: Fournette's production in the playoffs was artificially inflated by the injury to Ronald Jones II, and part of Fournette's regular-season fantasy production last year was due to his pass-catching role. His ADP says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, but he's still being overvalued at his current price. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. USA Today named the most overrated player on every NFL team in 2022 and for the Cleveland Browns, Jadeveon Clowney was given this unwanted distinction. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. The investment in veteran wideout Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace almost cements Dobbinss capped upside in the passing game. Back up Share project Close 2022 hyundai sonata limited interior; what is birkenstock oiled leather; bates high gloss duty oxford; most overrated running backs of all time. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Wait until next year. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. The Ravens have also continued to trust Gus Edwards and have kept the backfield intact as a true timeshare. He didnt have a top 5 offensive line, so that eliminates the argument that he was made by the offensive line. DYAR: 96 DVOA: 0.085% His average DYAR of 96 would rank him 24th in the NFL in 2009, right ahead of Laurence Maroney. But now in the NFL, he is removed from passing down work in favor of J.D. The current regime did not select Robinson. Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. He showed elite promise in his rookie year and followed it up with a top 10 season despite a high ankle sprain limiting his ascension. Simpson 13. WHO ARE THE MOST OVERRATED FANTASY FOOTBALL RUNNING BACKS? With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. Jan 26 . The Giants offensive line, playcalling, and quarterback play give us no faith that they can help create fantasy overachievers. We've seen J.D. Derrick Henry, Tennessee | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB4. Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. Add in the fact that offense is unlikely to provide as many goal-line chances as the other high-end RB1s, and Kamara has plenty of factors going against him. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. The team added Brian Robinson Jr Jr. on day two of the draft while retaining J.D. For example, take Imagine Dragons and Maroon 5, both very accomplished. Now we can extinguish any hopes of Jacobs getting more involved in the passing game. Draft capital is not a predictor of talent as much as a predictor of opportunity. In 2019, his last full season, Cohen averaged 5.8 yards per catch and 4.4 yards per target -- terrible numbers for a third-down back. His career YPC was 3.9. Compared to Jim Brown (5.2 YPC), Larry Csonka (4.3 YPC), and Earl Campbell (4.3 YPC). Expect a more even split in touches than many are forecasting and potentially for Brown to earn the lead role. Jason Wood: Jacobs was the only projected Raiders offensive starter to play in the Hall of Fame game, which should be a blaring red flag for how much new head coach Josh McDaniels values Jacobs as a centerpiece. Overall: 98 and 96. As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. Byars is the only running back in modern NFL history taken in the first 10 picks of the draft who had at least 800 career carries and a per-carry average of 3.6 yards or worse. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. Gary Davenport: Drafting an RB1 based on wishful thinking isn't an ideal strategy, yet Williams keeps getting picked inside the top-12 at his position. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB9 | Consensus Projections RB9. At others, he made mistakes and was underused. Jim Brown 2. The only defense in that group to finish above the bottom quartile in Football Outsiders' rush defense DVOA metric was Green Bay, who allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to enemy running backs last season. They will be pass-dominant inside the five-yard line, which doesn't help Edwards-Helaire's fantasy stock. At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. Ryan Hester: Gibson is a unique case in fantasy football. If he is still on the opening day roster, Gordon's workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Even if he receives most of the early-down and passing game work, it still wont be very valuable on a putrid offense. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. There isnt much to like here. Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. Ben Cummins: Henrys past two monster years were with offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, the head coach in Atlanta. Drew Davenport: Gordon hasn't been a special player for a while now, and at times last year looked completely ineffective. And free-agent acquisitions Mark Ingram II and Rex Burkhead didnt even play. There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. 1 cornerstone. 2022/07/02 . Tevin Coleman was specifically brought in because he knows the run-blocking schemes the Jets will employ this year, and Ty Johnson hasn't gone anywhere either. 1 status. When we go into advanced stats, we can tell even more about Bettis: * Note: The stats are Bettis averages per season, not total career. After the Robinson selection, head coach Ron Rivera likened the potential Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr combination to the Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams pairing he used during his Carolina days. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB21. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. However, his footwork and explosiveness in tight spaces allowed him to slip would-be tacklers with consistency. Aaron Jones, Green Bay | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB6. 1. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. The team didn't improve a problem defensive line. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season.